While many are only hearing about prediction markets for the first time, for near a decade they were active. It is a shame that I have not noticed them. Life is strange.
For example; trading on the outcome of Britney Spear’s conservatorship and the Suez Canal obstruction! – Could this event become a contract?
In order to understand the process you need to navigate first.
A prediction market is a market where people can trade contracts that pay based on the outcomes of unknown future events. The market prices generated from these contracts can be understood as a kind of collective prediction among market participants. These prices are based on the individual expectations and willingness of investors to put their money on the line for those expectations.