Lets Assume we bet 100 USD on Each signal. and I would stop trading the signal at 25% DD.156 x 100 = 15,600 Total First Selection of Signals: 156 (I counted them wrong as 157) 33 :Exploded 🙂 – account closed. We do not know the exact reason for stopping but we assume they blow the account up. We would have stopped at 25% DD and we have 75 USD after stoploss. 70 of them…
Month 03-2025 03/2025 TCBridgeNew PDF Report Link Monthly % Returns Cumulative Return % https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vT9i9SSkydmxyFM5AGBaF-IeMCutKAhR8llrg5ZTb1gbd_Lzq7dyKsGHFoc9D4Xf25EK9h-zkIej55J/pubhtml https://ugurcandan.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/Tcbridgenew032025_drowdowns.pdf As you can see we had 25 active strategies working on the account. Total Return: 96.8% with -3%DD on the last day of March. The Graphs are active Graphs – I copied the results on a static google sheet. You never know brokers sometimes delete the past history logs. I have unfortunately lost some of my account history. This time…
VWAP: Volume weighted average priceTWAP: Time weighted average pricePOV/Volume: These strategies are referred to volume inline, percentage of volume (POV), of participation rate algorithmsArrival Price: The arrival price algorithm has different meanings across different brokers and vendorsImplementation Shortfall: The IS algorithm is like the arrival price algorithm in many waysBasket Algorithms: Basket algorithms also known as portfolio algorithms are algorithms that manage the trade-off between cost and total basket risk based on a user specified…
The “efficient markets” theory is half right. The market’s mechanism for allocating prices is extremely fair. It’s a simple two-way auction process by which price moves over time to facilitate trade either up or down-an extremely rational, efficient process. The other half of the efficient market equation, however, is often wrong; people are seldom rational when they make financial decisions. The first step toward more profitable investing is to accept that market irrationality is due…
Nassim Nicholas Talep “Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails” Published in 2020. A recent read compared to Markowitz “Portfolio Selection” published in “The Journal of Finance”, Vol. 7, No. 1. (Mar., 1952), pp. 77-91. Both of them are must reads. Markowitz passed away on 2023. I wonder if those two guys ever meet each other. If they ever did I wonder if they discussed their own approaches. I will search for it and let you know…
Why a vector Database is a must?A vector search engine is a type of search engine that uses vector representations, also knownas embeddings, to search for relevant information. Unlike traditional keyword-based search engines, vector search engines use mathematical techniques to represent and process the meaning of words, phrases, sentences, or documents in a high-dimensional vector space. The key idea is that semantically similar items have similar vector representations. Vector search engines are particularly useful for…
Benoit Mandelbrot and Richard L. Hudson spend good amount of time for making it understandable in the book “The (Mis)Behavior of Markets” “Markets are much riskier than we have been led to believe. They are prone to violent, unpredictable swings, and these swings are not mere anomalies but part of the natural order of things.” This quote highlights Mandelbrot’s critique of traditional models that underestimate market risk and fail to account for extreme events. “The…
I would constantly update this post because it is also evolving over time and I would also want to write about my failures. My findings are as precious as my successful findings.
Some take aways from Nassim Taleb “Statistical Consequences of fat tails” book. A must read for a next generation thinker.
The link to the podcast: The Untold Side of the Turtle Trading Legacy ft. Bill Eckhardt & Rob Sorrentino | Top Traders Unplugged The structure of the market is that the money flows from the many to the few. So, you have to be among the few, not among the many. If you do normal human reflexes, normal human reactions, then you’ll almost always find yourself among the many and you’ll be a loser. Trading…