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Test for Telegram Forex Signals Part II

Posted on 05/12/202305/12/2023 by Ugur

Test dates: 01-06-2023 to 01-12-2023 Telegram Channel Name: XAUUSD (Gold) Master Subscriber 1,700 users Total Trades: 460 Short Trades (won %): 249 (32.13%) Long Trades (won %): 211 (36.02%) Total Deals: 920 Profit Trades (% of total): 156 (33.91%) Loss Trades (% of total): 304 (66.09%) Largest profit trade: 218.72 Largest loss trade:-72.85 Average profit trade: 6.70 Average loss trade: -5.63 Maximum : 11 (18.59) Maximum consecutive losses ($): 20 (-111.70) Maximal : 442.55 (7)…

Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb – Evidence of change in Risk Management

Posted on 24/11/202324/11/2023 by Ugur

From: Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb The book is quoted by Fortune as “ One of the smartest books of all time”. Probably an over statement by still a very interesting read because you can both have an understanding of science, culture and psychology on trading. I would agree and disagree on some of his comments. All Fundamental comments I would agree but for the new era of AI and real time risk…

Some new videos to Understand What is happening around us?

Posted on 19/11/202324/11/2023 by Ugur

I have created two videos in the last few months… First one is created to give you a feeling of Worlds money markets. Second one is about a new perspective on Industry 4.0. I hope you can enjoy them…

What does “The Tortoise Trainer” and “Business Transformation” have in common?

Posted on 09/07/202324/11/2023 by Ugur

Rule #1 – There would always be a question mark on if it would be successful or not? Once you google “The Tortoise Trainer” you will get the most expensive piece of art in Turkish Painting – Painted by Osman Hamdi. The Tortoise Trainer is a painting by Osman Hamdi Bey, with a first version created in 1906 and a second in 1907. Hamdi’s painting of an anachronistic historical character attempting to train tortoises is…

Should you keep the first Envelope or change? Choice between “Two Envelopes Paradox”

Posted on 18/06/202325/08/2024 by Ugur

You are offered a choice between two envelopes E1 and E2. All that you know about them is that one contains twice as much money as the other. After you have chosen one of the envelopes, you are offered the opportunity to switch the envelope that you have chosen for the other envelope. Should you keep the first Envelope or change? Here is a tempting line of reasoning that suggests that you should make this…

Best Examples for Signal Trading

Posted on 11/06/202311/06/2023 by Ugur

https://ugurcandan.com/mql5-signal-tracking-key-stats-per-month/ Link is the key stats of for the 196 signals that I am following. As of 28/May/2023: out of 195 tracked signals 77 discontinued. 32 in monthly loss with average -16%, 86 of them in monthly win with average +8%. 23 of them (best of the best) have a monthly gain of +20% in average. Ok one might have 20% monthly gain but is this a sustainable model? how does the growth look like…

Reference Architecture of SAP BTP CAP application using GPT Models

Posted on 14/05/202314/05/2023 by Ugur

As we might recall from former presentations the latest simple view of SAP Apps can be viewed as below What ever we do it is designed to run on BTP (Business Technology Platform). Now that we have the Generative AI wind blowing the question is to find out what is next. With the Generative AI and Deep Learning converging and creating new fronters and new Evolution comes into play. Non-technical users can solve their business…

What are Telegram Signals?

Posted on 01/05/202301/05/2023 by Ugur

I have been following some telegram signals. The owners of those signals want to remain anonymous. I assume it must be deficult to keep customers happy. Nearly all have paid channels. I just fallow one paid channel. All others are free shared signals from the channel owners. I have screened their performance from july 2022 to April 2023. You can see the results on the table below. I will also publish their portfolio correlation graph….

Kelly Criteria Tests with Risk Reward Ratio

Posted on 20/04/202320/04/2023 by Ugur

Ig you recall I discussed about Kelly Criteria and I have recorded a video to derive the formula. Link Now the open Question was about the formula when a Risk Reward ratio was different than 1. In the coin toss problem you either win 1X or you loose 1X. This is very rare in real life. Kelly criteria is as below K= win % – Loose % /Risk Reward ratio A set of different senarios….

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