Ugur – Ugur Candan

DEEP RESEARCH: Deviation from Fair Value in Commodity & FX Market Efficiency (2020-2026)

Posted on 21/04/202621/04/2026 by Ugur

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY DIRECT ANSWER: Commodity and FX markets exhibit persistent and exploitable deviations from theoretical fair value due to institutional constraints, behavioral biases, market microstructure frictions, and information processing limits. Key exploitable inefficiencies include: PPP deviations persisting 3-7 years, commodity futures term structure roll yields of 5-15% annually, BEER/FEER exchange rate misalignments of 15-40%, and oil price deviations from marginal cost by $20-40/bbl during supply shocks. CONFIDENCE: Medium-High – Based on 60+ sources including IMF/ECB…

Commodity Market Inefficiencies: Deep Research Report

Posted on 20/04/202620/04/2026 by Ugur

Cross-Asset Arbitrage, Structural Spreads, and Actionable Alpha Opportunities Prepared: April 19, 2026Analyst: Quantitative Research — Commodity Markets \& Cross-Market InefficienciesScope: Global commodity markets, derivatives, FX, and emerging asset classes — 1. Executive Summary This report identifies and analyzes 21 market inefficiencies spanning energy, metals, agriculture, FX/macro, emerging, and derivatives markets. Six original inefficiencies are extended with 2023–2026 data, and 15 newly identified opportunities are profiled in detail. Key findings: Top 5 most actionable today (2026):…

Ensemble Learning Methods for Forex Prediction

Posted on 12/04/202612/04/2026 by Ugur

Executive Summary This document presents a comprehensive, APA-formatted analysis of 24 ensemble learning studies for Forex forecasting conducted between 2021 and 2025. The analysis standardizes performance metrics across heterogeneous reporting formats and provides method-specific rankings, architecture analysis, and implementation recommendations. Conclusion This comprehensive analysis of 24 Forex ensemble studies from 2021-2025 reveals significant advances in ensemble methods for currency forecasting. Key findings include: Major Trends: Best Practices: Research Gaps: Future Directions:

Design of my Personal Agent – OpenClaw

Posted on 11/04/202611/04/2026 by Ugur

His name is Mr No. It has a male character.His skills are explained in the attached pdf. Link to detailed PDF file.

Internet Of Agents (IoA)

Posted on 14/03/202615/03/2026 by Ugur

The IOA Blueprint Architecting the Future of Agentic Collaboration. (Link To PDF – a Must read) We are rapidly moving beyond the traditional Internet and the Internet of Things. Welcome to the era of the Internet of Agents, a foundational framework designed to seamlessly interconnect, dynamically discover, and collaboratively orchestrate autonomous AI agents at scaleUnlike the human-centric web or the trigger-based Internet of Things, the Internet of Agents is built for agent and knowledge connectivity….

The Pragmatist’s Guide to Enterprise AI in SAP World

Posted on 01/03/202601/03/2026 by Ugur

Here is a simple, catchy summary of “The Pragmatist’s Guide to Enterprise AI”: A must read document in PDF format: https://ugurcandan.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Enterprise-AI-Guide.pdf Are you tired of flashy AI pilots that never actually improve your bottom line? “The Pragmatist’s Guide to Enterprise AI” tackles the biggest roadblock in business AI today: the massive chasm between a cool demo and scalable production.As companies shifted from monolithic ERPs to fragmented “best-in-class” applications, their data became siloed. To fix this,…

“New Trading Platform” From Scratch #1 – Infra Setup

Posted on 21/02/202601/03/2026 by Ugur

I will start a new series called “New Trading Platform”. In this series I will design a transportable renewed platform from scratch. I will start from barebone metal server and build step by step a fully functional framework. Walkthrough: Proxmox Post-Installation Configuration I have successfully configured your fresh Proxmox installation on x.59.252.177. The system is now up-to-date and ready for use with the free No-Subscription repository. Changes Made 1. Repository Configuration 2. System Update 3. Subscription…

“TradeLook” A new Front End for MyFXBook CSV Downlaod

Posted on 07/02/202601/03/2026 by Ugur

By using AntiGravity I have created a new frontend for myfxbook.com CSV downloads. If you have a myfxbook registered tracked trading account you can just upload the downloaded CSV and start playing around to see the performance of different Magic Numbers. This is crucial for improving right sizing and having right algos performing. Link to Functionity: https://ugurcandan.com/tradelook/

SAP TechEd 2025 session on “Extending SAP Joule with Joule Studio”

Posted on 07/02/202615/03/2026 by Ugur

How Innovation Changes Even The Fighter Design?

Posted on 25/01/202625/01/2026 by Ugur

It is not about “if we could design it” or “if we have already designed it” or “if china or USA would first design it”. I am not an expert on 6th generation air fighters. My comment is simple. Looking at the pace of technology progress should we have it already designed by now? We have self driving Taxi’s all around the planet. Not yet very popular but still we have them as a dominant…

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