Trading – Ugur Candan

5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket, GOLD, Bitcoin, Meta, SAP, Nvidia, Palantir, Google

Posted on 29/11/202529/11/2025 by Ugur

Lets see them in Order: 5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket 5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket ADD GOLD. 5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket, GOLD ADD Bitcoin. 5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket, GOLD, Bitcoin ADD (Meta, SAP, Google) as an example of top europe and US stock tickers. Now…

USA Stocks Trading Algo Results: Golden Question: Which Yield Curve is better?

Posted on 22/11/202522/11/2025 by Ugur

Let’s see your peference. I have posted 4 Different Algo’s. they more or less do the same but the yield curves are very different. I have also linked the code blocks if you want to test it yourself.

What if Test: 30 Mounths of Turtle Trade Test

Posted on 03/11/202503/11/2025 by Ugur

Big‑picture summary (Turtle Trading Style) Time Span for Test: 1/1/2023 to 30/06/2025 Goal: Trade a Turtle‑style breakout on a top‑25, high‑liquidity universe using daily data.Entry: Go long when the current price breaks above the rolling 30‑day highest close. Exit (priority order):Stop‑loss at −25% from average entry price.Take‑profit at +30% from average entry price.Exit if price falls below the rolling 15‑day lowest close. Position sizing: Target 20% of portfolio value per position. ——— QuantConnect Code Generated…

Who are the winners of last 24 months for investors? Nvidia, Bitcoin, Gold, US30…

Posted on 01/11/202515/11/2025 by Ugur

The graph visualizes the performance of all fifteen assets from November 2023 to October 2025:

Updated Ranking of 15 Assets (Nov 2023 – Oct 2025)The table below provides the full, final ranking, with the new assets slotted based on their performance (starting point Nov 2023=100$).

What is the CAGR achieved in Trading by TOP Trader “James Simons”?

Posted on 15/07/202515/07/2025 by Ugur

Yes James Simons… I have been referring to him on different occasions. This math lover, who earned his PhD from the University of California, is known for founding and creating Renaissance Technologies Chern-Simons formwith a technical analysis style in its trading activities. Reported revenue reached $18.5 billion in 2018. Although James Simons was included in Bloomberg’s 2011 list of the 50 most influential people and was named “the world’s smartest billionaire” by the Financial Times…

Michael Saylor’s Prophecy About Crypto Currency

Posted on 13/07/202513/07/2025 by Ugur

“…In his latest presentation at BTC Prague, Michael Saylor presented “his bitcoin prophecy”, predicting that bitcoin will reach a price of USD 21 million per coin by 2046 (21 years from now). While USD 21 million sounds crazy right now, it is important to put this into perspective. This price would imply an annual return of 28.5% over the next 21 years. If we consider that over the last 21 years, Apple’s stock has returned…

Long Waited 156 Signal Analysis MQL5 03/2025

Posted on 01/04/202515/07/2025 by Ugur

Lets Assume we bet 100 USD on Each signal. and I would stop trading the signal at 25% DD.156 x 100 = 15,600 Total First Selection of Signals: 156 (I counted them wrong as 157) 33 :Exploded 🙂 – account closed. We do not know the exact reason for stopping but we assume they blow the account up. We would have stopped at 25% DD and we have 75 USD after stoploss. 70 of them…

Monthly Analysis of Trading Performance – “tcbridgenew”

Posted on 29/03/202504/04/2025 by Ugur

Month 03-2025 03/2025 TCBridgeNew PDF Report Link Monthly % Returns Cumulative Return % https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vT9i9SSkydmxyFM5AGBaF-IeMCutKAhR8llrg5ZTb1gbd_Lzq7dyKsGHFoc9D4Xf25EK9h-zkIej55J/pubhtml https://ugurcandan.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/Tcbridgenew032025_drowdowns.pdf As you can see we had 25 active strategies working on the account. Total Return: 96.8% with -3%DD on the last day of March. The Graphs are active Graphs – I copied the results on a static google sheet. You never know brokers sometimes delete the past history logs. I have unfortunately lost some of my account history. This time…

Evolution of Algo Trading over years

Posted on 21/01/202521/01/2025 by Ugur

VWAP: Volume weighted average priceTWAP: Time weighted average pricePOV/Volume: These strategies are referred to volume inline, percentage of volume (POV), of participation rate algorithmsArrival Price: The arrival price algorithm has different meanings across different brokers and vendorsImplementation Shortfall: The IS algorithm is like the arrival price algorithm in many waysBasket Algorithms: Basket algorithms also known as portfolio algorithms are algorithms that manage the trade-off between cost and total basket risk based on a user specified…

MARKETS are Rational PEOPLE are NOT

Posted on 13/01/202513/01/2025 by Ugur

The “efficient markets” theory is half right. The market’s mechanism for allocating prices is extremely fair. It’s a simple two-way auction process by which price moves over time to facilitate trade either up or down-an extremely rational, efficient process. The other half of the efficient market equation, however, is often wrong; people are seldom rational when they make financial decisions. The first step toward more profitable investing is to accept that market irrationality is due…

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