Trading – Ugur Candan

5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket, GOLD, Bitcoin, Meta, SAP, Nvidia, Palantir, Google

Posted on 29/11/202529/11/2025 by Ugur

Lets see them in Order: 5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket 5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket ADD GOLD. 5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket, GOLD ADD Bitcoin. 5 Year Analysis of US30, GER30, NIKKEI, CHINA50, WTI, UKX, US500, EmergingBasket, GOLD, Bitcoin ADD (Meta, SAP, Google) as an example of top europe and US stock tickers. Now…

USA Stocks Trading Algo Results: Golden Question: Which Yield Curve is better?

Posted on 22/11/202522/11/2025 by Ugur

Let’s see your peference. I have posted 4 Different Algo’s. they more or less do the same but the yield curves are very different. I have also linked the code blocks if you want to test it yourself.

What is the CAGR achieved in Trading by TOP Trader “James Simons”?

Posted on 15/07/202515/07/2025 by Ugur

Yes James Simons… I have been referring to him on different occasions. This math lover, who earned his PhD from the University of California, is known for founding and creating Renaissance Technologies Chern-Simons formwith a technical analysis style in its trading activities. Reported revenue reached $18.5 billion in 2018. Although James Simons was included in Bloomberg’s 2011 list of the 50 most influential people and was named “the world’s smartest billionaire” by the Financial Times…

Long Waited 156 Signal Analysis MQL5 03/2025

Posted on 01/04/202515/07/2025 by Ugur

Lets Assume we bet 100 USD on Each signal. and I would stop trading the signal at 25% DD.156 x 100 = 15,600 Total First Selection of Signals: 156 (I counted them wrong as 157) 33 :Exploded 🙂 – account closed. We do not know the exact reason for stopping but we assume they blow the account up. We would have stopped at 25% DD and we have 75 USD after stoploss. 70 of them…

MARKETS are Rational PEOPLE are NOT

Posted on 13/01/202513/01/2025 by Ugur

The “efficient markets” theory is half right. The market’s mechanism for allocating prices is extremely fair. It’s a simple two-way auction process by which price moves over time to facilitate trade either up or down-an extremely rational, efficient process. The other half of the efficient market equation, however, is often wrong; people are seldom rational when they make financial decisions. The first step toward more profitable investing is to accept that market irrationality is due…

The (Mis)Behavior of Markets – Must know fact about markets

Posted on 01/01/202501/01/2025 by Ugur

Benoit Mandelbrot and Richard L. Hudson spend good amount of time for making it understandable in the book “The (Mis)Behavior of Markets” “Markets are much riskier than we have been led to believe. They are prone to violent, unpredictable swings, and these swings are not mere anomalies but part of the natural order of things.” This quote highlights Mandelbrot’s critique of traditional models that underestimate market risk and fail to account for extreme events. “The…

Design of my Trading Platform

Posted on 29/12/202416/08/2025 by Ugur

I would constantly update this post because it is also evolving over time and I would also want to write about my failures. My findings are as precious as my successful findings.

13 Laws of Trading – No Compromise can be done!

Posted on 22/09/202422/09/2024 by Ugur

The 13 Laws # 1 – Have A Game Plan When Trading… And Stick To It # 2 – Control Your Emotions At All Times # 3 – Stay Disciplined And Think Objectively # 4 – Don’t Trade Just To Trade # 5 – Never Think About Money When Trading # 6 – Winning Percentage Means Absolutely Nothing # 7 – Lose Like A Professional # 8 – Let Your Winners Run # 9 –…

Trading Results Online Analysis is Available

Posted on 24/08/202409/11/2024 by Ugur

Thanks to sites likewww.myfxbook.com and www.fxblue.com we have nearly infinite way of analyzing our trading performance. I generated an online results analysis page. https://ugurcandan.com/trading/ With the link provided you have a near real time analysis of my trades in MT4 terminal. This is extremely useful because trading companies archive your trades after 30 to 90 days. In such cases you loose your valuable learning potential and just left with results at monthly break down. I…

Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb – Evidence of change in Risk Management

Posted on 24/11/202324/11/2023 by Ugur

From: Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb The book is quoted by Fortune as “ One of the smartest books of all time”. Probably an over statement by still a very interesting read because you can both have an understanding of science, culture and psychology on trading. I would agree and disagree on some of his comments. All Fundamental comments I would agree but for the new era of AI and real time risk…

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